Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-06 1.627381 1.879845 2.157498 2.485377 2.861884 3.280614 3.781582
2025-04-13 1.180169 1.485277 1.849403 2.315552 2.896133 3.595165 4.500668
2025-04-20 0.969387 1.314728 1.757252 2.364898 3.176807 4.223589 5.675481
2025-04-27 0.833315 1.208360 1.720446 2.468909 3.533356 4.991416 7.139622
2025-05-04 0.712717 1.098252 1.655863 2.518254 3.815792 5.692726 8.612262
2025-05-11 0.611009 0.995503 1.581708 2.536383 4.048446 6.346860 10.102506
2025-05-18 0.510850 0.876652 1.462362 2.463061 4.125173 6.770036 11.292630
2025-05-25 0.421574 0.759485 1.325904 2.337943 4.095007 7.012567 12.216382
2025-06-01 0.369049 0.695514 1.266457 2.329682 4.252609 7.573242 13.730252
2025-06-08 0.319541 0.628554 1.191163 2.280757 4.329003 7.999365 15.058283
2025-06-15 0.301438 0.616838 1.212763 2.409276 4.739780 9.060071 17.651986
2025-06-22 0.276858 0.588512 1.198736 2.467180 5.023360 9.918534 19.970795
2025-06-29 0.247502 0.547210 1.156045 2.467645 5.205065 10.625334 22.128142
2025-07-06 0.209761 0.482329 1.056718 2.338929 5.109857 10.781320 23.216164
2025-07-13 0.195052 0.465210 1.054292 2.413520 5.447386 11.850654 26.320290
2025-07-20 0.185472 0.458128 1.072390 2.535226 5.902618 13.220812 30.240011
2025-07-27 0.172220 0.440274 1.063818 2.595448 6.229192 14.355155 33.790349
2025-08-03 0.158038 0.417833 1.041359 2.619920 6.476718 15.344658 37.140630
2025-08-10 0.139780 0.382141 0.982198 2.547618 6.485476 15.792673 39.293964
2025-08-17 0.120944 0.341754 0.905474 2.420222 6.341500 15.863750 40.553466
2025-08-24 0.110411 0.321870 0.877547 2.412829 6.495928 16.666369 43.700423
2025-08-31 0.099104 0.297969 0.835707 2.362872 6.533994 17.187355 46.207109
2025-09-07 0.096671 0.299003 0.860637 2.496345 7.074024 19.036403 52.358266